Tropical Threat for Mexico

Posted by James Follette on Tuesday, May 9, 2017

The National Hurricane Centre is monitoring an area of low pressure a few hundred kilometres south of El Salvador.

As we reported last week, the storm has about a 90 percent chance of becoming a tropical depression over the next five days.

The trend continues to favor a northeast track taking it over land in Mexico, then likely into the Gulf of Mexico.

I have seen many past storms in history in that part of ocean basin during early May and June intense very quickly! To major hurricane status. Looking at El nino building, warmer waters and models showing this storm exploding fast, I wouldn't be surprised to see it become a cat 2 or 3 in a matter of days.

Worst fear is the storm exploding into a major or near major hurricane and tracking towards Mexico and into the gulf where pieces of storm may survive and actually redevelop, it's possibility but not likely as of now.

The Team

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