Posted by Donovan Neal on Thursday, December 21, 2017
Midwest Group - I am actually writing this blog update in a hotel room with two people sleeping behind me in Chicago, Illinois, where the Summit High School Wind Symphony will perform at the 71st annual Midwest Band and Orchestra Clinic and Convention. Please make sure to bundle up and dress WARM this morning as temperatures will likely be in the low 30s by the time most of you wake up (yes, I know most of you are still asleep as I'm writing this). Be sure that you stay warm throughout the day as highs will only reach the upper 30s to low 40s in most spots. A mix of sun and clouds is likely throughout the day. More specifics about the weather for tomorrow and Friday will come later.
Friday - In North Texas, an arctic front will push through the area, resulting in cooler temperatures and more rain chances on Friday. By noon, most of the rain mass should be in the North Texas area. Some embedded thunderstorms will be possible, but organized severe weather should not be an issue. Rain amounts should generally stay in the one inch range.
The Weekend - Saturday and Christmas Eve look very overcast and dry. We will start the day in the low to mid 20s, but we only peak at mid 40s on Saturday, and mid 30s on Sunday.
Christmas Day - We are finally starting to get in good agreement in terms of the models. Both the GFS and the European (ECMWF) models continue to show a dry Christmas Day for North Texas with plentiful sunshine along with highs in the low 40s. Since this is still five days out, this could of course change, but right now, the chances of a "White Christmas" in North Texas are very low at this present time.
Rest of Next Week - During the latter half of next week, another disturbance comes from the northwest, and we should see more chances for showers and storms starting Wednesday. To the north of us, winter precipitation will be possible, but for North Texas, just rain for now. The cold weather will still stick around. See the Texas Weather Discussion Video for more details.