Increasing Likelihood of Tropical Development

Posted by Kyle Brookings on Friday, May 25, 2018

The National Hurricane Center in the United States is still watching a surface low centered near the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico.

The low is producing widespread shower and thunderstorm activity. It remains disorganized at this time, however, environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development, and a subtropical or tropical depression or storm is likely to form during the weekend over the eastern or central Gulf of Mexico.

An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon, if necessary.

The low will produce heavy rain across western Cuba and over much of Florida and the northern Gulf Coast into early next week.

They say that there is a 70 percent formation chance through 48 hours, and a 90 percent chance of formation through the next 5 days.

The first named storm of the season will be Alberto.

The Team

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