Growing Concern for Pacific Storm

Posted by James Follette on Wednesday, May 3, 2017
Ocean Under White Skies during Daytime
There is a growing threat for the first pacific tropical storm or hurricane to form as early as Monday.

Global models show a storm becoming a strong tropical storm to a minimal hurricane by mid next week - storm track still to early and uncertain, but becoming more likely to track over Mexico, possibly bringing flooding rains, life threatening mud slides and flash floods mid to late next week for Mexico.

Some tracks put storm crossing Mexico and entering the Gulf of Mexico and surviving into a small tropical system, however it is still to early. The hurricane season in the Pacific officially starts on May 15th, and June 1st in the Atlantic.

If the storm does form in the Pacific, it will be named Adrian, already the first name of 2017 Atlantic hurricane season formed just a few weeks in late April, that name was Arlene, the next storm to form in the Atlantic is Bret.

I forecast the 2017 hurricane season to be near or slightly above normal due to increasing tropical moisture down south, lack of dry air, warmer ocean temps and El Nino. A much more active hurricane season is expected for the Pacific, due to El Nino and warmer ocean temps.



The Team

© Wx Centre