Closely Watching the Atlantic

Posted by Kyle Brookings & James Follette on Tuesday, July 4, 2017

The latest satellite imagery this morning shows an area of low pressure that is becoming more well-defined.

The tropical wave is now an Invest, and is now being named Invest 94.

The Latest GFS model has been back and forth on a few things.. but still very consistent on others.

The U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) gives the system a 70% chance of forming in 48 hours and an 80% in five days.

Latest model runs continue to point towards a timing of the storm forming into a depression or storm by Wednesday or Thursday.

The low is presently moving slowly westward and will shift toward the west-northwest by tonight.

The Strength will be determined from water temps, dry/moist air and African dust and of course wind shear.

As of now, all models point to warm waters, low African dust, very light wind shear and very little dry air.

Those in Grenada north to Puerto Rico along with the Atlantic states in the United States should monitor this storm.

A persistent track being guided by a very large Bermuda High continues to track the storm North west then West-North West where it will threaten the Bahamas, Caribbean, Dominion Republic and then making it way closer to the East coast where it may threaten Nova Scotia and Newfoundland. 

The Team

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